{"id":46485,"date":"2022-02-21T01:36:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-21T06:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.cybercon1.com\/?p=46485"},"modified":"2022-02-21T01:36:00","modified_gmt":"2022-02-21T06:36:00","slug":"the-future-of-artificial-intelligence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2022\/02\/21\/the-future-of-artificial-intelligence\/","title":{"rendered":"The future of artificial intelligence"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

There are three basic scenarios for the medium-term development of AI<\/strong>. A first base scenario can be combined with either of the other two.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The base scenario is that the development of weak AI<\/strong> will continue. Programming will lead to increasingly refined single-task feats. This type of AI<\/strong> can be used in manufacturing, healthcare, administration and some services, but its constraints are apparent. Once it is dedicated to a function, it is not able to perform another. And it can only perform tasks with limited scope for unforeseen factors. Still, weak AI<\/strong> can free up human labor capabilities and work more precisely. It can also potentially lower costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Building on the base scenario, one possibility is the development of strong AI<\/strong> in an upward concave curve. The first developments would make larger progress than subsequent ones. There would be a diminishing marginal increase of benefits to strong AI <\/strong>innovation with time. This scenario would confirm the claim that there are limits to what machines can learn. If there is a fundamental difference between human and nonhuman intelligence, then strong AI<\/strong> will develop only to a point. This is not necessarily bad news. While teaching computers, scientists could find out a lot about human intelligence and discover new programming principles. These benefits could make it worth pursuing artificial general intelligence even if research falls short of creating strong AI<\/strong>. It could also lead to humans specializing in some areas and machines in others, which would bring welfare gains.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strong AI <\/strong>could also develop in an upward convex curve. The first steps would be arduous but later developments would accelerate. In this scenario, there would be no difference between human and machine intelligence, and therefore no limitations to what strong AI<\/strong> can learn. Coming up with the first building blocks of artificial general intelligence is difficult because it involves discovering new programming principles and new hardware. But once those are in place, innovation could speed up. During the Industrial Revolution, building the first machines and connecting them to a power grid was difficult. But once the technology became widespread, new inventions multiplied. In this scenario, strong AI <\/strong>could usher in a new way of organizing human life \u2013 most likely for the better. Read On:<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There are three basic scenarios for the medium-term development of AI. A first base scenario can be combined with either of the other two. The base scenario is that the development of weak AI will continue. Programming will lead to …<\/span> Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46487,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[638,640],"tags":[639,641],"class_list":["post-46485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai","category-artificial-intelligence-ai","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence-2"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":31565,"url":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/25\/the-basics-of-modern-ai-how-does-it-work-and-will-it-destroy-society-this-year\/","url_meta":{"origin":46485,"position":0},"title":"The basics of modern AI\u2014how does it work and will it destroy society this year?","author":"Rick Backus","date":"April 25, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"AI, or artificial intelligence, is huge right now. \u201cUnsolvable\u201d problems are being solved, billions of dollars are being invested, and Microsoft even hired\u00a0... There\u2019s an old joke in computer science that goes like this: what\u2019s the difference between AI and automation?\u00a0Well, automation is what we\u00a0can\u00a0do with computers, and AI is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "AI"","block_context":{"text":"AI","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/category\/ai\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/cyber-4062449__340.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":76708,"url":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/13\/ai-anxiety-how-these-20-jobs-will-be-transformed-by-generative-artificial-intelligence\/","url_meta":{"origin":46485,"position":1},"title":"AI Anxiety: How These 20 Jobs Will Be Transformed By Generative Artificial Intelligence","author":"Rick Backus","date":"June 13, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Essentially embrace the evolution or risk being replaced by it.","rel":"","context":"In "3D Printing"","block_context":{"text":"3D Printing","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/category\/3d-printing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/steam_1686510936-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C852&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/steam_1686510936-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C852&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/steam_1686510936-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C852&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/steam_1686510936-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C852&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/steam_1686510936-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C852&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":76825,"url":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2023\/07\/24\/the-a-z-of-ai-30-terms-you-need-to-understand-artificial-intelligence\/","url_meta":{"origin":46485,"position":2},"title":"The A-Z of AI: 30 terms you need to understand artificial intelligence","author":"Rick Backus","date":"July 24, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Most of the AIs developed to date have been \"narrow\" or \"weak\". So, for example, an AI may be capable of crushing the world's best chess player...","rel":"","context":"In "AI"","block_context":{"text":"AI","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/category\/ai\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/a-book-3536184_1280-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/a-book-3536184_1280-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/a-book-3536184_1280-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/a-book-3536184_1280-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/a-book-3536184_1280-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":77382,"url":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/01\/ai-for-earth-how-nasas-artificial-intelligence-and-open-science-efforts-combat-climate-change\/","url_meta":{"origin":46485,"position":3},"title":"AI for Earth: How NASA’s Artificial Intelligence and Open Science Efforts Combat Climate Change","author":"Rick Backus","date":"July 1, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"By Lauren Leese - As extreme weather events increase around the world due to climate change, the need for further research into our warming planet has increased as well. For NASA, climate research involves not only conducting studies of these events, but also empowering outside researchers to do the same.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "AI"","block_context":{"text":"AI","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/category\/ai\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/earth-1785915_1280.jpg?fit=848%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/earth-1785915_1280.jpg?fit=848%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/earth-1785915_1280.jpg?fit=848%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/earth-1785915_1280.jpg?fit=848%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":33277,"url":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2020\/04\/06\/artificial-or-human-intelligence-companies-faking-ai\/","url_meta":{"origin":46485,"position":4},"title":"Artificial Or Human Intelligence? Companies Faking AI","author":"Rick Backus","date":"April 6, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Ron Schmelzer - Artificial intelligence is a hot topic across the board \u2014 from enterprises looking to implement AI systems to technology companies looking to provide AI-based solutions. However, sometimes the technical and data-based complexities of AI challenge technology companies to deliver on their promises. Some companies are choosing to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "AI"","block_context":{"text":"AI","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/category\/ai\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/cdn.pixabay.com\/photo\/2018\/08\/02\/11\/13\/mask-3579320__340.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":31521,"url":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/11\/ai-disaster-wont-look-like-the-terminator-itll-be-creepier\/","url_meta":{"origin":46485,"position":5},"title":"AI disaster won’t look like the Terminator. It’ll be creepier.","author":"Rick Backus","date":"April 11, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"By\u00a0Dylan Matthews - When I heard five or so years back that people in Silicon Valley were getting worried about\u00a0artificial intelligence\u00a0causing human extinction, my initial reaction was\u00a0extreme skepticism. A large reason for that was that the scenario just felt silly. What did these folks think would happen \u2014 was some\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "AI"","block_context":{"text":"AI","link":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/category\/ai\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.cyberconservices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/binary-2175285__340-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46485\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.cyberconservices.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}